Analyse Technique | Analyse dynamique | sujet : ARGUMENTS DES BEARS

Sur CNBC, en ce moment,Le DJ monte en même temps que l'oil qui est quand même à 126.09 !!

reportage sur TV5 monde sur les poles et la fonte des glaces....
bien déprimant....belugas,ours blancs...etc....
heureusement il y a plein de pétrole là bas.....ouf..

Je lirais demain, mais ça va interesser:

G-7 Central Bankers Stymied by "Crude Oil Vigilantes"

Extract:

The Bernanke Fed, working under the command of US “Plunge Protection Team” (PPT) chief Henry Paulson, has doubled the growth rate of the US M3 money supply to 17.5% rate, its fastest in history, and slashed the fed funds rate far below the inflation rate to “negative” interest rates. “The turmoil in some global equity markets and the considerable depreciation in the US dollar have encouraged investors to seek better returns in commodities, particularly in crude oil futures. This has driven prices higher,” said OPEC Chief Adbullah al-Badri on May 8th.

Extract:

Contrary to Mr. Bush’s feeble explanations, there is a “magic wand” that can rein in the “crude oil vigilantes,” - a quick reversal of the Fed’s aggressive rate cuts to defend the US dollar. But PPT commander Paulson is loathe to hiking US interest rates right now, since higher interest rates can undermine the fragile housing market. Instead, Paulson has backed a G-7 plot to knock the Euro lower against the dollar, aiming to wipe-off the speculative froth from the crude oil market.

http://www.financialsense.com/Market/wrapup.htm

FEDEX profit warning.....
petrole et ralentissement éco
-3% after hours

17,5% ....??? la M3 ??? inoui quand on sait l ampleur passée....
BEN EST UN DEMENT...
je rehausse ma target d inflation particuliere et conjoncturelle pas grave...
encore une fois merci pour le post

A LIRE ..Super lien

un court extrait

Worldwide, food prices in March were 57% higher than a year earlier according to the United Nations. The price of rice is up 120% and wheat has climbed 65%, triggering violent protests across Asia and the Middle East following reports of deaths from starvation.

Last year, the United States imported $330 billion of crude oil from abroad at an average price of $64 per barrel. If crude oil were to average $124/barrel in 2008, the US oil import bill would nearly double by $300 billion, and easily wipe-out the $150 billion of tax rebate checks going out to American households in the weeks ahead. The US government is simply going deeper into debt to help Americans pay for higher oil prices. The global transfer of wealth will add $1 trillion into the coffers of the OPEC cartel this year, up from OPEC’s $665 billion of revenue last year.

le dement canadien.....épinglé à son tour...

the “crude oil vigilantes” are receiving extra ammunition from the Bank of Canada, which has slashed its overnight loan rate by 150 basis points over the past six-months, including two half-point rate cuts. Canada’s new central bank chief is 43-year old youngster, Mark Carney, previously a Goldman Sachs investment banker. The rookie central bank chief is building a reputation for himself as a “radical inflationist,” molded along the same lines as Fed chief Ben Bernanke.


je baisse les tauix ..je suis un héros
je baisse les tauix ..je suis un hérosje baisse les tauix ..je suis un hérosje baisse les tauix ..je suis un hérosje baisse les tauix ..je suis un hérosje baisse les tauix ..je suis un hérosje baisse les tauix ..je suis un hérosje baisse les tauix ..je suis un hérosje baisse les tauix ..je suis un héros


L inflation explose.....je fais....euh...ben rien...........

parce qu elle est particuliere....cette fois ci.......quand elle va "Decrease slowly"...je serai un héros..je serai un hérosje serai un hérosje serai un hérosje serai un hérosje serai un hérosje serai un hérosje serai un héros

il baisse les taux à cause de la situation catastrophique du Canada...oui oui

catastrophe particulière

Carney is slashing Canadian interest rates, fearful of a slump in Canadian exports to the US economy, its biggest customer. However, over the past 12-months, Canada’s employment has increased by 325,000 persons, including 104,000 new jobs in the first quarter, and the jobless rate is just above a 33-year low of 5.8 percent.

J ai raté le PW de Sothebys
malgré la folie du marché de l art...
trop de risques dans les garanties clients....(bref,ils ont trop poussé le marché)
BEN.. on baisse les taux ??? ou JCT ?? un volontaire ???

SOthebys a accès a des encheres de Petrus et de Romanéé conti

On fait 50 cette semaine alors ??? cool

Oil 200 ?? Sothebys pourrait le vendre aux encheres en fait.....

Une petite pensee pour Georges W. BUSH qui part bientot en retraite... Bon Week End

TV5 encore plus déprimant que cette file....
en tout cas,il faudra un miracle pour que la planete évite un sombre changement....
Arctique nouvel eldorado....ca promet....
cela dit,les icebergs ca changera les ricains des IED.....

un petit dernier....
comment le déficit se creuse aux US

WASHINGTON: The U.S. military is reinforcing the sides of its topline mine-resistant vehicles to shore up what could be weak points as troops see a spike in armor-piercing roadside bombings across Iraq, The Associated Press has learned.

The surge in attacks is putting the mine-resistant, ambush-protected vehicles (MRAPs) to the test, and so far they are largely passing. Statistics reviewed by the AP show that while bombings involving the deadly penetrating explosives have jumped by about 40 percent in the past three months, deaths in such bombings have dropped by as much as 17 percent.

Officials attribute much of the decline in deaths to the increased use of MRAPs, pronounced "M-raps." To date, about a half-dozen troops have died in incidents that involved the new bomb-resistant vehicles, and several of those deaths occurred in rollovers rather than from explosives penetrating the armor.

Il convient de rappeler que chacun de ces véhicules vaut 1.7m $
et un IED efficicace 800 dollars
Chaque blessé avec des séquelles coutera aux US un minimum de 750.000 $

Lire les papiers de Stieglitz sur le cout réel
ceci est à mettre en relation avec le livre d Attali..qui démontre que les empires meurent à chaque fois pour la même raison...la défense lointaine et couteuse de leurs frontieres lointaines qui les saignent à mort

2 ou 3 T pour la guerre en Irak et en Afghanistan.....dans 5 ,10 ans ca sera dans tous les livres d histoire.....

une vidéo déjà un peu datée pour comprendre le sens de l histoire....
vengeance involontaire pour les russes (surtout avec le pétrole à 125) et quasi victoire pour les ennemis de l Amérique....

c est un repost (pour les fideles de la file)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-amnY9R18mA

Leadings indicators:

http://www.e-forecasting.com/

http://www.e-forecasting.com/US_Leading_Economic_I...